2007 Hurricane Season Ending Raises Forecast Concerns
The News Review:
- 2007 Hurricane Season Ending Raises Forecast Concerns
- Tornado brings death to ‘Desperate Housewives’; writers…
- Recipe For A Storm: Ingredients For More Powerful Atlantic Hurricanes
- Good hurricane luck not permanent
- Tornado hits Eastern Cape
- Hurricane season ends with nary a scare here
- 2007 hurricane season comes to a close
2007 Hurricane Season Ending Raises Forecast Concerns
National Geographic – Nov 30, 2007
nationalgeographic. Now some experts fear the second year of inaccurate preseason predictions will shake the public’s faith in all. nationalgeographic… The total does not include Tropical Storm Andrea which formed off the coast of Georgia three weeks before the season’s start. The problem he said is that there is widespread public interest in the preseason hurricane forecasts. “The most regularly asked question I had—even before How are the wife and kids?—was What kind of hurricane season are we going to have?” Mayfield said. But after so many wrong calls the public may no longer differentiate between tenuous preseason predictions and the Hurricane Center’s forecasts for individual storms he said. Cool ExplanationThe summer did produce two extremely intense hurricanes—Dean in August and Felix in September—that caused catastrophic damage in Mexico Mayfield notes. nationalgeographic.
Tornado brings death to ‘Desperate Housewives’; writers…
International Herald Tribune – Nov 30, 2007
McCluskey's house oh my has been reduced to rubble. Death is in the air. The aftermath of a hissy fit by a stressed homemaker or jealous lover? No it's a tornado that has savaged suburbia — and series creator Marc Cherry is reveling in the destruction and of course the drama. “Causing all sorts of havoc that's when I'm at my happiest” a mischievous Cherry said of the two-part episode that brings the ABC drama its cruelest crisis yet for viewers as well as characters. The first hour airs Sunday with a cliffhanger ending (Who died? Who lived?) that won't be resolved anytime soon: The following episode is completed but has yet to be scheduled… We actually recycled” Walsh said. The designer debris ultimately was carted back to the lot and attached to wood pallets to allow for repositioning during filming and quick removal in case of emergency (there was none Walsh said and no injuries during filming). When it came to simulating the tornado and its destructive path the approach was strictly old school since computer-generated effects would be costly and time-consuming. Wind machines created impressive gusts; cranes lifted and dropped cars and air mortars sent flotsam flying. The house occupied by Karen McCluskey (Kathryn Joosten) fell victim to an earth excavator. It was the only one destroyed; other damage such as apparent gashes in roofs was largely simulated. There was Hollywood history attached to the demolished house which was featured in “Father Knows Best” and to others: Gabrielle's (Longoria) home was seen in the movie “Harvey” while “The Munsters” “Marcus Welby M.
Recipe For A Storm: Ingredients For More Powerful Atlantic Hurricanes
Science Daily – Science Daily (press release) – Nov 30, 2007
After the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons many worry what Atlantic hurricane seasons will look like in a warmer world. Evidence indicates that higher ocean temperatures add a lot of fuel to these devastating storms. In a paper published today in the "Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society" co-authors Jim Kossin and Dan Vimont caution against only looking at one piece of the puzzle. "Sea surface temperature is a bit overrated" says Kossin an atmospheric scientist at UW-Madison’s Cooperative Institute of Meteorological Satellite Studies. "It’s part of a larger pattern… The atmosphere reacts to ocean conditions and the ocean reacts to the atmospheric situation creating a distinct circulation pattern known as the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM). The AMM unifies the connections among the factors that influence hurricanes such as ocean temperature characteristics of the wind and moisture in the atmosphere. Finding that a basin-wide circulation pattern drives Atlantic hurricane activity helps explain evidence of significant differences in long-term hurricane trends among the world’s basins. In a study published last February Kossin and his co-authors created a more consistent record of hurricane data that accounted for the significant improvement in storm detection that followed the advent of weather satellites. An analysis of this recalibrated data showed that hurricanes have become stronger and more frequent in the Atlantic Ocean over the last two decades. The increasing trend however is harder to identify in the world’s other oceans. Kossin and Vimont wanted to determine why long-term trends in the Atlantic looked different from those in other basins particularly in the Pacific where the majority of the world’s hurricane activity occurs.
Good hurricane luck not permanent
Charleston Post Courier – Nov 30, 2007
Such amusement is particularly satisfying for Lowcountry residents when hurricane experts vastly overestimate the number of Atlantic storms ? as they did this year for the second straight year. As reported in today’s paper even a Goose Creek-based “trance medium” did better than those experts. But regardless of how often hurricane experts are wrong (or right) don’t doubt this forecast: Eventually another major hurricane will strike our coast. It might be many years until we suffer that natural-disaster fate again. And even hurricane seasons with few storms can include one ? or more ? that hits us hard. The prominent hurricane research team at Colorado State University led by Professor William Gray will issue its 2008 forecast in a few months… It might be many years until we suffer that natural-disaster fate again. And even hurricane seasons with few storms can include one ? or more ? that hits us hard. The prominent hurricane research team at Colorado State University led by Professor William Gray will issue its 2008 forecast in a few months. So will other organizations that specialize in this field. Just don’t laugh too loudly about how virtually all of them got it so wrong by projecting a potentially devastating 2006 hurricane season and an above-average 2007. Theirs is obviously not an exact science.
Tornado hits Eastern Cape
Independent Online – Nov 30, 2007
Superintendent Mzukisi Fatyela said the tornado touched down at 11. 30am and damaged houses and a nearby school. “16 houses and 8 classrooms at Mqanduli Junior Secondary School were completely destroyed” he said. Fatyela said a teacher and pupil were severely injured when they were hit by the school’s falling roof… Superintendent Mzukisi Fatyela said the tornado touched down at 11. 30am and damaged houses and a nearby school. “16 houses and 8 classrooms at Mqanduli Junior Secondary School were completely destroyed” he said. Fatyela said a teacher and pupil were severely injured when they were hit by the school’s falling roof. “They were taken to hospital” he said.
Hurricane season ends with nary a scare here
Savannah Morning News – Nov 30, 2007
After all for the first time since at least 1996 the Chatham Emergency Management Agency didn’t issue a single warning for an Atlantic tropical storm. “We didn’t have anything to talk about the whole hurricane season” said Phillip Webber CEMA’s director. But as the official 2007 hurricane season comes to an end today don’t tell the folks in Jamaica Belize or Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula it was a sleepy season. They got walloped by tropical storms and hurricanes. “In the Atlantic it was an above-average year” said Chuck Watson a Savannah-based hurricane researcher and founder of Kinetic Analysis Corp. In April Watson and his colleague Mark Johnson at the University of Central Florida Department of Statistics predicted 15… After all for the first time since at least 1996 the Chatham Emergency Management Agency didn’t issue a single warning for an Atlantic tropical storm. “We didn’t have anything to talk about the whole hurricane season” said Phillip Webber CEMA’s director. But as the official 2007 hurricane season comes to an end today don’t tell the folks in Jamaica Belize or Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula it was a sleepy season. They got walloped by tropical storms and hurricanes. “In the Atlantic it was an above-average year” said Chuck Watson a Savannah-based hurricane researcher and founder of Kinetic Analysis Corp. In April Watson and his colleague Mark Johnson at the University of Central Florida Department of Statistics predicted 15.
2007 hurricane season comes to a close
Bay News 9 – Nov 30, 2007
(Bay News 9) — The 2007 hurricane season which was relatively quiet in the United States ends today. And although hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University predicted 17 named storms there were only 14. However that number is still higher than the average of 10. There were six hurricanes this year which is normal and two of those were considered major. Both Dean and Felix made landfall in Central America as Category 5 hurricanes… (Bay News 9) — The 2007 hurricane season which was relatively quiet in the United States ends today. And although hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University predicted 17 named storms there were only 14. However that number is still higher than the average of 10. There were six hurricanes this year which is normal and two of those were considered major. Both Dean and Felix made landfall in Central America as Category 5 hurricanes. Only one hurricane affected the United States.